Description

This analysis provides a forecast of GRT6719 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.132350 0.147784 0.164896 0.185388 0.209405 0.236845 0.270825
2024-10-27 0.107733 0.127582 0.151427 0.182597 0.222902 0.274170 0.345843
2024-11-03 0.095473 0.118547 0.148148 0.189855 0.248723 0.331520 0.462065
2024-11-10 0.085939 0.110826 0.144507 0.195043 0.272036 0.390718 0.600842
2024-11-17 0.076317 0.101265 0.136436 0.191878 0.281731 0.431336 0.724830
2024-11-24 0.068300 0.092740 0.128363 0.186878 0.286869 0.465102 0.849624
2024-12-01 0.060370 0.083362 0.117707 0.175889 0.279413 0.474097 0.928044
2024-12-08 0.056110 0.078944 0.114002 0.175515 0.290233 0.520196 1.110685
2024-12-15 0.053523 0.076764 0.113476 0.180309 0.311405 0.593457 1.403503
2024-12-22 0.049373 0.071718 0.107693 0.174843 0.311237 0.619799 1.582770
2024-12-29 0.047786 0.070615 0.108327 0.181186 0.336595 0.714543 2.051806
2025-01-05 0.045061 0.067398 0.104980 0.179405 0.343949 0.766542 2.418350
2025-01-12 0.042944 0.065117 0.103206 0.180817 0.359769 0.850540 3.026729
2025-01-19 0.040110 0.061411 0.098548 0.175786 0.359431 0.888480 3.479869
2025-01-26 0.038985 0.060565 0.099040 0.181619 0.387599 1.029771 4.757003
2025-02-02 0.037764 0.059442 0.098886 0.186025 0.413370 1.178634 6.485898
2025-02-09 0.035786 0.056809 0.095570 0.182844 0.417498 1.250212 7.836517
2025-02-16 0.033806 0.054044 0.091768 0.178066 0.416069 1.300091 9.183977
2025-02-23 0.031396 0.050353 0.085870 0.167717 0.396145 1.263180 9.467910
2025-03-02 0.030203 0.048844 0.084228 0.167350 0.406703 1.369402 12.132060
2025-03-09 0.029571 0.048338 0.084569 0.171841 0.433807 1.574511 17.951160
2025-03-16 0.028082 0.046123 0.081216 0.166709 0.428246 1.610211 20.879955
2025-03-23 0.027687 0.045973 0.082164 0.172660 0.462081 1.892648 34.604277